Diplomatic normalization with Israel has seen limited momentum into 2026, following Kazakhstan’s accession to the Abraham Accords framework in late 2025 and Israel’s reciprocal recognition of Somaliland that December. Saudi Arabia maintains its longstanding position linking any ties to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced by regional public opinion and recent U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to nuclear cooperation talks. Syria has engaged in preliminary discussions after regime change, yet border security issues and internal politics persist as obstacles. No additional formal recognitions have materialized through mid-2026 amid the broader fallout from the Gaza conflict and parallel waves of Palestinian state recognitions by other governments. These dynamics underscore the high threshold for new bilateral breakthroughs before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQuels pays reconnaîtront Israël d'ici le 31 décembre ?
$365,079 Vol.

Liban
14%

Venezuela
14%

Arabie saoudite
13%

Indonésie
8%

Syrie
8%

Tunisie
7%

Koweït
7%

Pakistan
6%

Bangladesh
5%

Iran
5%

Cuba
4%

Irak
4%

Qatar
4%

Afghanistan
4%

Malaisie
4%

Corée du Nord
3%
$365,079 Vol.

Liban
14%

Venezuela
14%

Arabie saoudite
13%

Indonésie
8%

Syrie
8%

Tunisie
7%

Koweït
7%

Pakistan
6%

Bangladesh
5%

Iran
5%

Cuba
4%

Irak
4%

Qatar
4%

Afghanistan
4%

Malaisie
4%

Corée du Nord
3%
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic normalization with Israel has seen limited momentum into 2026, following Kazakhstan’s accession to the Abraham Accords framework in late 2025 and Israel’s reciprocal recognition of Somaliland that December. Saudi Arabia maintains its longstanding position linking any ties to concrete progress on Palestinian statehood, a stance reinforced by regional public opinion and recent U.S. diplomatic pressure tied to nuclear cooperation talks. Syria has engaged in preliminary discussions after regime change, yet border security issues and internal politics persist as obstacles. No additional formal recognitions have materialized through mid-2026 amid the broader fallout from the Gaza conflict and parallel waves of Palestinian state recognitions by other governments. These dynamics underscore the high threshold for new bilateral breakthroughs before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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