Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17
Vainqueur de la primaire démocratique NY-17
Cait Conley 100.0%
Beth Davidson <1%
Effie Phillips-Staley <1%
Mike Sacks <1%
$242,967 Vol.
$242,967 Vol.
Beth Davidson
Non
Effie Phillips-Staley
Non
Mike Sacks
Non
John Cappello
Non
Cait Conley
Oui
Peter Chatzky
Non
Jessica Reinmann
Non
John Sullivan
Non
Cait Conley 100.0%
Beth Davidson <1%
Effie Phillips-Staley <1%
Mike Sacks <1%
$242,967 Vol.
$242,967 Vol.
Beth Davidson
Non
Effie Phillips-Staley
Non
Mike Sacks
Non
John Cappello
Non
Cait Conley
Oui
Peter Chatzky
Non
Jessica Reinmann
Non
John Sullivan
Non
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 3:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Cait Conley leads the NY-17 Democratic primary with trader consensus at 77.5 percent, driven by her profile as a West Point graduate, combat veteran, and former national security official with experience on the National Security Council and at CISA, which has drawn endorsements from county leaders and substantial outside support ahead of the June 23 vote. Beth Davidson holds 21.5 percent as the main local alternative, backed by her record as a Rockland County legislator and recent endorsements from prior candidates in the race. The contest has featured attacks on Conley's recent district residency and funding sources, alongside reported Republican-linked spending aimed at blocking her nomination, reflecting assessments of her strength against incumbent Mike Lawler. Minor candidates trail with under 2 percent combined.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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