Cait Conley leads the NY-17 House race in trader consensus because the Hudson Valley district leans Democratic, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by about 5.5 points. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up, highlighting its status as one of the most competitive contests that could influence House control. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with nearly 50% of the vote, positioning her as a strong challenger to two-term Republican incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler has emphasized his bipartisan record and called for multiple debates, while both candidates are raising substantial funds ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$15,854 Vol.
$15,854 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Cait Conley (D)
65%
Mike Lawler (R)
33%
$15,854 Vol.
$15,854 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Cait Conley (D)
$6,528 Vol.
65%
Mike Lawler (R)
$9,327 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley leads the NY-17 House race in trader consensus because the Hudson Valley district leans Democratic, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by about 5.5 points. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up, highlighting its status as one of the most competitive contests that could influence House control. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with nearly 50% of the vote, positioning her as a strong challenger to two-term Republican incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler has emphasized his bipartisan record and called for multiple debates, while both candidates are raising substantial funds ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$15,854Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley leads the NY-17 House race in trader consensus because the Hudson Valley district leans Democratic, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by about 5.5 points. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up, highlighting its status as one of the most competitive contests that could influence House control. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with nearly 50% of the vote, positioning her as a strong challenger to two-term Republican incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler has emphasized his bipartisan record and called for multiple debates, while both candidates are raising substantial funds ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,854Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley leads the NY-17 House race in trader consensus because the Hudson Valley district leans Democratic, with roughly 80,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans and a 2024 presidential margin favoring Kamala Harris by about 5.5 points. Cook Political Report rates the seat a toss-up, highlighting its status as one of the most competitive contests that could influence House control. Conley, an Army combat veteran and former Biden national security official, secured the Democratic nomination in a June 2026 primary with nearly 50% of the vote, positioning her as a strong challenger to two-term Republican incumbent Mike Lawler. Lawler has emphasized his bipartisan record and called for multiple debates, while both candidates are raising substantial funds ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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