Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in New York's 17th congressional district primary on June 23, 2026, positioning her to challenge Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in the November general election. The district remains competitive, with recent polls showing narrow margins in both directions and reflecting its swing character amid broader midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats aligns with the post-primary stabilization of candidates and historical patterns in similar suburban New York seats, where turnout among key voting blocs and national political conditions often determine narrow outcomes. No major late developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-17
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-17
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
68%
Parti républicain
32%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
4 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$3,931 Vol.
68%
Parti républicain
$3,564 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in New York's 17th congressional district primary on June 23, 2026, positioning her to challenge Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in the November general election. The district remains competitive, with recent polls showing narrow margins in both directions and reflecting its swing character amid broader midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats aligns with the post-primary stabilization of candidates and historical patterns in similar suburban New York seats, where turnout among key voting blocs and national political conditions often determine narrow outcomes. No major late developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$7,495Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in New York's 17th congressional district primary on June 23, 2026, positioning her to challenge Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in the November general election. The district remains competitive, with recent polls showing narrow margins in both directions and reflecting its swing character amid broader midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats aligns with the post-primary stabilization of candidates and historical patterns in similar suburban New York seats, where turnout among key voting blocs and national political conditions often determine narrow outcomes. No major late developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,495Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cait Conley secured the Democratic nomination in New York's 17th congressional district primary on June 23, 2026, positioning her to challenge Republican incumbent Mike Lawler in the November general election. The district remains competitive, with recent polls showing narrow margins in both directions and reflecting its swing character amid broader midterm dynamics. Trader consensus at 68.5% for Democrats aligns with the post-primary stabilization of candidates and historical patterns in similar suburban New York seats, where turnout among key voting blocs and national political conditions often determine narrow outcomes. No major late developments have shifted positioning since the primaries concluded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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