Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s strong partisan lean, centered in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Latimer’s 2024 victory with over 70 percent of the vote and the seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+18 reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The June 2026 primaries confirmed Latimer’s unopposed Democratic nomination against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-16
Vainqueur des élections à la Chambre des représentants NY-16
$41,108 Vol.
$41,108 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
2%
$41,108 Vol.
$41,108 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$30,668 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$10,440 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s strong partisan lean, centered in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Latimer’s 2024 victory with over 70 percent of the vote and the seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+18 reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The June 2026 primaries confirmed Latimer’s unopposed Democratic nomination against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,108Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s strong partisan lean, centered in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Latimer’s 2024 victory with over 70 percent of the vote and the seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+18 reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The June 2026 primaries confirmed Latimer’s unopposed Democratic nomination against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,108Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding position in the NY-16 House race due to the district’s strong partisan lean, centered in southern Westchester County and parts of the Bronx, where Democrats have consistently secured large margins. Latimer’s 2024 victory with over 70 percent of the vote and the seat’s Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+18 reinforce trader consensus reflected in the current odds. The June 2026 primaries confirmed Latimer’s unopposed Democratic nomination against Republican Joseph Cinquemani. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this district indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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