President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including the March 5 dismissal of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and nomination of Senator Markwayne Mullin as replacement, alongside counterterrorism official Joe Kent's March 17 resignation protesting the Iran war, have intensified scrutiny on administration personnel and foreign policy. The early March nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair further fuels policy debates. Amid reports of potential Strait of Hormuz escalation and renaming discussions, figures like Netanyahu gain prominence. This market tracks verbal mentions of listed individuals in April speeches, Truth Social posts, or statements, with traders focusing on Trump's historical emphasis on domestic critics (Newsom, Harris, Omar), foreign adversaries (Maduro, Khamenei), and allies (Kushner, Homan). The April 1 Easter lunch offers an immediate test event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetanyahu
93%
Delcy
72%
Newsom / Newscum
88%
Caine
69%
Emmanuel / Macron
65%
Maduro
66%
Warsh
70%
Kushner
76%
Oz
67%
Ilhan / Omar
75%
Leavitt
65%
Homan
71%
Schumer
59%
Kamala
74%
Rand Paul
54%
Massie
54%
Khamenei / Khomeini
53%
Zohran / Mamdani
62%
Gianni / Infantino
45%
Bush
48%
Machado
46%
Bernie
45%
Hillary
44%
Kavanaugh
43%
Paxton
42%
Talarico
42%
Nicki / Minaj
42%
Jensen / Huang
39%
Bolsonaro
32%
Zuckerberg
38%
Warren / Pocahontas
42%
Viktor / Orbán
54%
Keir / Starmer
56%
$602 Vol.
Netanyahu
93%
Delcy
72%
Newsom / Newscum
88%
Caine
69%
Emmanuel / Macron
65%
Maduro
66%
Warsh
70%
Kushner
76%
Oz
67%
Ilhan / Omar
75%
Leavitt
65%
Homan
71%
Schumer
59%
Kamala
74%
Rand Paul
54%
Massie
54%
Khamenei / Khomeini
53%
Zohran / Mamdani
62%
Gianni / Infantino
45%
Bush
48%
Machado
46%
Bernie
45%
Hillary
44%
Kavanaugh
43%
Paxton
42%
Talarico
42%
Nicki / Minaj
42%
Jensen / Huang
39%
Bolsonaro
32%
Zuckerberg
38%
Warren / Pocahontas
42%
Viktor / Orbán
54%
Keir / Starmer
56%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including the March 5 dismissal of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem and nomination of Senator Markwayne Mullin as replacement, alongside counterterrorism official Joe Kent's March 17 resignation protesting the Iran war, have intensified scrutiny on administration personnel and foreign policy. The early March nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair further fuels policy debates. Amid reports of potential Strait of Hormuz escalation and renaming discussions, figures like Netanyahu gain prominence. This market tracks verbal mentions of listed individuals in April speeches, Truth Social posts, or statements, with traders focusing on Trump's historical emphasis on domestic critics (Newsom, Harris, Omar), foreign adversaries (Maduro, Khamenei), and allies (Kushner, Homan). The April 1 Easter lunch offers an immediate test event.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes