Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
20 septembre
48%
30 septembre
50%
31 octobre
17%
$316 Vol.
20 septembre
$108 Vol.
48%
30 septembre
$0 Vol.
50%
31 octobre
$208 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Marché ouvert : Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volume
$316Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.
This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
Volume
$316Date de fin
1 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical disruptions, including tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and refinery constraints tied to conflicts in the Middle East and Ukraine, have pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel and driven the U.S. national average regular gasoline price to $4.44 per gallon as of September 17, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20. Regional spreads remain wide, with the lowest state averages (Indiana near $3.92 and Texas near $3.93) still well above the $3.75 threshold amid elevated refining margins and summer-blend requirements. Trader sentiment on state-level gas prices reflects these supply-side pressures and limited near-term relief from seasonal winter-blend transitions, while monitoring upcoming EIA inventory data and any shifts in global oil flows that could alter the current elevated price trajectory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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