The Texas Republican Senate primary runoff between Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn continues without withdrawal, as the March deadline for candidates to remove their names from the ballot passed without action from either side. President Trump has yet to issue the expected endorsement that would typically trigger one candidate to exit, while Paxton’s public offer to consider dropping out remains conditional on Senate Republicans eliminating the filibuster to advance the SAVE America Act—a threshold not met in recent legislative sessions. This sustained intraparty competition, combined with Paxton’s ongoing campaign activities and polling showing a competitive race, underpins the 97.1 percent trader consensus against an exit. Potential shifts could still arise from a late Trump endorsement or unexpected Senate action on election legislation before the May runoff.