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Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

icon for Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

52% chance
Polymarket

$12,038 Vol.

52% chance
Polymarket

$12,038 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,038
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The ongoing Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, now in its ninth week as of early September 2026, centers trader views on whether prosecutors can secure the 16 votes needed from 24 senator-judges for conviction on charges including misuse of confidential funds, graft, bribery, and threats. The House transmitted articles in May after a 257-25 vote, but Duterte-aligned senators and procedural challenges create a narrow path to the two-thirds threshold. Evidence presentations on Department of Education funds and tax records, alongside defense responses and potential absences or legal issues affecting certain senators, sustain the close balance. Outcomes by the market's December 31, 2026 resolution date hinge on trial momentum, witness testimony, and any shifts in Senate alignments before proceedings extend further into 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.

The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$12,038
Date de fin
31 déc. 2026
Marché ouvert
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte. The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 52% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 52¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 52% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? » a généré $12K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 21, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? » est de 52% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 52% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.