The UAE's continued participation in GCC ministerial meetings, joint security coordination, and regional initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa as of September 2026 underpins the 94% implied probability against departure. Despite strains from the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit—framed as an independent energy decision amid production quota disputes and diverging Iran and Yemen policies with Saudi Arabia—Abu Dhabi has publicly emphasized Gulf unity, including at the June GCC-US ministerial gathering. No official statements, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals point to withdrawal, while bilateral economic and defense ties with other members remain active. Historical patterns of GCC resilience despite internal rivalries further align with trader expectations that membership will hold through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLes Émirats arabes unis quitteront-ils le Conseil de coopération du Golfe en 2026 ?
Les Émirats arabes unis quitteront-ils le Conseil de coopération du Golfe en 2026 ?
Oui
6% chance
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
6% chance
$100,938 Vol.
$100,938 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's continued participation in GCC ministerial meetings, joint security coordination, and regional initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa as of September 2026 underpins the 94% implied probability against departure. Despite strains from the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit—framed as an independent energy decision amid production quota disputes and diverging Iran and Yemen policies with Saudi Arabia—Abu Dhabi has publicly emphasized Gulf unity, including at the June GCC-US ministerial gathering. No official statements, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals point to withdrawal, while bilateral economic and defense ties with other members remain active. Historical patterns of GCC resilience despite internal rivalries further align with trader expectations that membership will hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,938Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The UAE's continued participation in GCC ministerial meetings, joint security coordination, and regional initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa as of September 2026 underpins the 94% implied probability against departure. Despite strains from the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit—framed as an independent energy decision amid production quota disputes and diverging Iran and Yemen policies with Saudi Arabia—Abu Dhabi has publicly emphasized Gulf unity, including at the June GCC-US ministerial gathering. No official statements, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals point to withdrawal, while bilateral economic and defense ties with other members remain active. Historical patterns of GCC resilience despite internal rivalries further align with trader expectations that membership will hold through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,938Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The UAE's continued participation in GCC ministerial meetings, joint security coordination, and regional initiatives such as the planned unified tourist visa as of September 2026 underpins the 94% implied probability against departure. Despite strains from the UAE's April 2026 OPEC exit—framed as an independent energy decision amid production quota disputes and diverging Iran and Yemen policies with Saudi Arabia—Abu Dhabi has publicly emphasized Gulf unity, including at the June GCC-US ministerial gathering. No official statements, legislative steps, or diplomatic signals point to withdrawal, while bilateral economic and defense ties with other members remain active. Historical patterns of GCC resilience despite internal rivalries further align with trader expectations that membership will hold through year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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