OPEC continues to coordinate output targets among its remaining core members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, through regular OPEC+ meetings even after the UAE's May 2026 exit and amid Iraq's quota disputes and Venezuela's reported considerations of departure. The group maintained steady production levels for October 2026 in its latest session and is advancing capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and regional supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. Trader consensus reflects this operational persistence, as full dissolution would require coordinated withdrawals by multiple major producers or a breakdown in quota negotiations that has not materialized. Potential shifts could stem from unresolved 2027 quota conflicts, additional exits, or post-conflict production surges that erode collective discipline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
3% chance
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
3% chance
$36,499 Vol.
$36,499 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output targets among its remaining core members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, through regular OPEC+ meetings even after the UAE's May 2026 exit and amid Iraq's quota disputes and Venezuela's reported considerations of departure. The group maintained steady production levels for October 2026 in its latest session and is advancing capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and regional supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. Trader consensus reflects this operational persistence, as full dissolution would require coordinated withdrawals by multiple major producers or a breakdown in quota negotiations that has not materialized. Potential shifts could stem from unresolved 2027 quota conflicts, additional exits, or post-conflict production surges that erode collective discipline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Volume
$36,499Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate output targets among its remaining core members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, through regular OPEC+ meetings even after the UAE's May 2026 exit and amid Iraq's quota disputes and Venezuela's reported considerations of departure. The group maintained steady production levels for October 2026 in its latest session and is advancing capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and regional supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. Trader consensus reflects this operational persistence, as full dissolution would require coordinated withdrawals by multiple major producers or a breakdown in quota negotiations that has not materialized. Potential shifts could stem from unresolved 2027 quota conflicts, additional exits, or post-conflict production surges that erode collective discipline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$36,499Date de fin
1 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to coordinate output targets among its remaining core members, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, through regular OPEC+ meetings even after the UAE's May 2026 exit and amid Iraq's quota disputes and Venezuela's reported considerations of departure. The group maintained steady production levels for October 2026 in its latest session and is advancing capacity reviews for 2027 baselines, demonstrating institutional continuity despite reduced membership and regional supply disruptions from the Iran conflict. Trader consensus reflects this operational persistence, as full dissolution would require coordinated withdrawals by multiple major producers or a breakdown in quota negotiations that has not materialized. Potential shifts could stem from unresolved 2027 quota conflicts, additional exits, or post-conflict production surges that erode collective discipline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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