Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCzechia 100.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 11%
Austria 7.9%
Croatia 7.6%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
3 août 2026
Austria
No
Belgium
No
Bosnia and Herzegovina
No
Croatia
No
Czechia
Yes
England
No
France
No
Germany
No
Netherlands
No
Norway
No
Portugal
No
Scotland
No
Spain
No
Sweden
No
Switzerland
No
Türkiye
No
Czechia 100.0%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 11%
Austria 7.9%
Croatia 7.6%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
3 août 2026
Austria
$887 Vol.
No
Belgium
$2,978 Vol.
No
Bosnia and Herzegovina
$361 Vol.
No
Croatia
$511 Vol.
No
Czechia
$1,147 Vol.
Yes
England
$763 Vol.
No
France
$359 Vol.
No
Germany
$1,182 Vol.
No
Netherlands
$767 Vol.
No
Norway
$786 Vol.
No
Portugal
$943 Vol.
No
Scotland
$1,310 Vol.
No
Spain
$1,607 Vol.
No
Sweden
$2,025 Vol.
No
Switzerland
$1,387 Vol.
No
Türkiye
$908 Vol.
No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ET
Volume
$17,923Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in UEFA (Europe) that is eliminated at the earliest stage (places lowest) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed UEFA nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,923Date de fin
3 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 5, 2026, 7:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Early group-stage results and fixture difficulty have shaped trader views on the lowest-finishing UEFA side at the 2026 World Cup, with implied probabilities reflecting recent form and group contexts. Czechia and Türkiye opened with defeats—1-2 to South Korea and 0-2 to Australia—while Portugal managed only a 1-1 draw against DR Congo and Norway sits alongside France in Group I despite a 4-1 win over Iraq. Several other sides, including Bosnia and Herzegovina and Switzerland, collected just one point from their openers in balanced groups, leaving room for further slippage. Stronger UEFA teams have posted convincing victories, widening the gap in early standings and underscoring why mid-tier or struggling nations lead market pricing for the worst outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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