Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by year-end 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained managed depreciation through the Central Bank's inflation-linked crawling peg bands introduced early this year. From the current rate near 1360 as of April 15, this anticipates roughly 18% further weakening, driven by March's 32.6% year-over-year inflation—down slightly but cooling less than forecasted—and fragile net reserves amid $19 billion debt maturities. President Milei's fiscal austerity has stabilized reserves and earned IMF nods for 3.5% GDP growth projections, yet political risks and intervention needs temper disinflation, concentrating next odds in the 1450–1499 band at 29.7%; watch April inflation data and Q2 reserve accumulation for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाArgentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
1600.00+ 46%
1450.00–1499.99 20.9%
1400.00–1449.99 17.2%
1300.00–1349.99 11.8%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
6%
1300.00–1349.99
11%
1350.00–1399.99
12%
1400.00–1449.99
10%
1450.00–1499.99
22%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
8%
1600.00+
46%
1600.00+ 46%
1450.00–1499.99 20.9%
1400.00–1449.99 17.2%
1300.00–1349.99 11.8%
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
<1250.00
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
1250.00–1299.99
$377 वॉल्यूम
6%
1300.00–1349.99
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
1350.00–1399.99
$375 वॉल्यूम
12%
1400.00–1449.99
$664 वॉल्यूम
10%
1450.00–1499.99
$725 वॉल्यूम
22%
1500.00–1549.99
$672 वॉल्यूम
11%
1550.00–1599.99
$409 वॉल्यूम
8%
1600.00+
$1,357 वॉल्यूम
46%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by year-end 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained managed depreciation through the Central Bank's inflation-linked crawling peg bands introduced early this year. From the current rate near 1360 as of April 15, this anticipates roughly 18% further weakening, driven by March's 32.6% year-over-year inflation—down slightly but cooling less than forecasted—and fragile net reserves amid $19 billion debt maturities. President Milei's fiscal austerity has stabilized reserves and earned IMF nods for 3.5% GDP growth projections, yet political risks and intervention needs temper disinflation, concentrating next odds in the 1450–1499 band at 29.7%; watch April inflation data and Q2 reserve accumulation for shifts.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,578समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by year-end 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained managed depreciation through the Central Bank's inflation-linked crawling peg bands introduced early this year. From the current rate near 1360 as of April 15, this anticipates roughly 18% further weakening, driven by March's 32.6% year-over-year inflation—down slightly but cooling less than forecasted—and fragile net reserves amid $19 billion debt maturities. President Milei's fiscal austerity has stabilized reserves and earned IMF nods for 3.5% GDP growth projections, yet political risks and intervention needs temper disinflation, concentrating next odds in the 1450–1499 band at 29.7%; watch April inflation data and Q2 reserve accumulation for shifts.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$4,578समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 45.5% implied probability for Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate exceeding 1600 by year-end 2026, reflecting expectations of sustained managed depreciation through the Central Bank's inflation-linked crawling peg bands introduced early this year. From the current rate near 1360 as of April 15, this anticipates roughly 18% further weakening, driven by March's 32.6% year-over-year inflation—down slightly but cooling less than forecasted—and fragile net reserves amid $19 billion debt maturities. President Milei's fiscal austerity has stabilized reserves and earned IMF nods for 3.5% GDP growth projections, yet political risks and intervention needs temper disinflation, concentrating next odds in the 1450–1499 band at 29.7%; watch April inflation data and Q2 reserve accumulation for shifts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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