Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest depreciation of Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate to around 1,650 by end-2026, with the <1,600 bracket leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field reflecting policy uncertainty. March 2026 inflation accelerated to 3.4% month-on-month—the highest year-to-date and cumulative Q1 at 9.4%—pressuring the BCRA's crawling peg regime, which adjusts bands monthly in line with inflation under Milei's stabilization framework. Central bank reserves have swelled $4.5–5.5 billion YTD to ~$46 billion gross, buoyed by a fresh IMF staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion, yet fragile net positions fuel volatility risks. Key swing factors include April CPI data and IMF board approval; sustained fiscal surplus could anchor lower brackets, while persistent inflation may propel rates toward 1,800+.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$15,906 वॉल्यूम
$15,906 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
<1600.00
35%
1600.00–1699.99
23%
1700.00–1799.99
18%
1800.00–1899.99
16%
1900.00–1999.99
15%
2000.00+
18%
$15,906 वॉल्यूम
$15,906 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
<1600.00
$1,314 वॉल्यूम
35%
1600.00–1699.99
$1,005 वॉल्यूम
23%
1700.00–1799.99
$929 वॉल्यूम
18%
1800.00–1899.99
$713 वॉल्यूम
16%
1900.00–1999.99
$10,966 वॉल्यूम
15%
2000.00+
$979 वॉल्यूम
18%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest depreciation of Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate to around 1,650 by end-2026, with the <1,600 bracket leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field reflecting policy uncertainty. March 2026 inflation accelerated to 3.4% month-on-month—the highest year-to-date and cumulative Q1 at 9.4%—pressuring the BCRA's crawling peg regime, which adjusts bands monthly in line with inflation under Milei's stabilization framework. Central bank reserves have swelled $4.5–5.5 billion YTD to ~$46 billion gross, buoyed by a fresh IMF staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion, yet fragile net positions fuel volatility risks. Key swing factors include April CPI data and IMF board approval; sustained fiscal surplus could anchor lower brackets, while persistent inflation may propel rates toward 1,800+.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$15,906समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest depreciation of Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate to around 1,650 by end-2026, with the <1,600 bracket leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field reflecting policy uncertainty. March 2026 inflation accelerated to 3.4% month-on-month—the highest year-to-date and cumulative Q1 at 9.4%—pressuring the BCRA's crawling peg regime, which adjusts bands monthly in line with inflation under Milei's stabilization framework. Central bank reserves have swelled $4.5–5.5 billion YTD to ~$46 billion gross, buoyed by a fresh IMF staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion, yet fragile net positions fuel volatility risks. Key swing factors include April CPI data and IMF board approval; sustained fiscal surplus could anchor lower brackets, while persistent inflation may propel rates toward 1,800+.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$15,906समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest depreciation of Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate to around 1,650 by end-2026, with the <1,600 bracket leading at 34.5% implied probability amid a fragmented field reflecting policy uncertainty. March 2026 inflation accelerated to 3.4% month-on-month—the highest year-to-date and cumulative Q1 at 9.4%—pressuring the BCRA's crawling peg regime, which adjusts bands monthly in line with inflation under Milei's stabilization framework. Central bank reserves have swelled $4.5–5.5 billion YTD to ~$46 billion gross, buoyed by a fresh IMF staff-level agreement unlocking $1 billion, yet fragile net positions fuel volatility risks. Key swing factors include April CPI data and IMF board approval; sustained fiscal surplus could anchor lower brackets, while persistent inflation may propel rates toward 1,800+.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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