Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports announced last week, have propelled WTI crude front-month futures to $93.50 per barrel as of April 16, 2026, fueling a 56.5% market-implied probability of June settlement exceeding $84. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a persistent geopolitical risk premium, amplified by disrupted Strait of Hormuz flows and triple-digit Brent spikes to $99 earlier this week, despite OPEC+ nations' modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April. Fading premiums briefly pressured prices on April 15, but steady global demand and limited U.S. inventory draws sustain bullish positioning. Upcoming EIA storage reports and OPEC+ meetings could sway the closely contested $77–$84 band at 14.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
>$84 से अधिक 56%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.9%
$63-$70 5.4%
$129,963 वॉल्यूम
$129,963 वॉल्यूम
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>$84 से अधिक
56%
>$84 से अधिक 56%
$77-$84 15%
$70-$77 7.9%
$63-$70 5.4%
$129,963 वॉल्यूम
$129,963 वॉल्यूम
<$42
3%
$42-$49
2%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
4%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
8%
$77-$84
15%
>$84 से अधिक
56%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, including a U.S. blockade of Iranian ports announced last week, have propelled WTI crude front-month futures to $93.50 per barrel as of April 16, 2026, fueling a 56.5% market-implied probability of June settlement exceeding $84. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a persistent geopolitical risk premium, amplified by disrupted Strait of Hormuz flows and triple-digit Brent spikes to $99 earlier this week, despite OPEC+ nations' modest 206,000 bpd output hike for April. Fading premiums briefly pressured prices on April 15, but steady global demand and limited U.S. inventory draws sustain bullish positioning. Upcoming EIA storage reports and OPEC+ meetings could sway the closely contested $77–$84 band at 14.5%.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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