Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated crude prices, driving the 61% market-implied probability for June WTI settlement above $84. Recent trading saw front-month futures ease to approximately $90 per barrel on June 5 amid tentative diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, yet the 3% daily decline followed sustained inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 per EIA forecasts. This risk premium outweighs softer demand signals, including weaker Chinese imports, keeping the $77–$84 bin at 23% while lower ranges remain thinly priced. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly inventory releases that could further shape the futures curve ahead of month-end settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
क्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
>$84 से अधिक 61%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 7.2%
$63-$70 2.0%
$219,750 वॉल्यूम
$219,750 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
1%
$63-$70
2%
$70-$77
7%
$77-$84
22%
>$84 से अधिक
61%
>$84 से अधिक 61%
$77-$84 22%
$70-$77 7.2%
$63-$70 2.0%
$219,750 वॉल्यूम
$219,750 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
<$42
$21,913 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$42-$49
$10,645 वॉल्यूम
1%
$49-$56
$12,678 वॉल्यूम
1%
$56-$63
$14,946 वॉल्यूम
1%
$63-$70
$28,306 वॉल्यूम
2%
$70-$77
$18,847 वॉल्यूम
7%
$77-$84
$19,502 वॉल्यूम
22%
>$84 से अधिक
$92,913 वॉल्यूम
61%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated crude prices, driving the 61% market-implied probability for June WTI settlement above $84. Recent trading saw front-month futures ease to approximately $90 per barrel on June 5 amid tentative diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, yet the 3% daily decline followed sustained inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 per EIA forecasts. This risk premium outweighs softer demand signals, including weaker Chinese imports, keeping the $77–$84 bin at 23% while lower ranges remain thinly priced. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly inventory releases that could further shape the futures curve ahead of month-end settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$219,750समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated crude prices, driving the 61% market-implied probability for June WTI settlement above $84. Recent trading saw front-month futures ease to approximately $90 per barrel on June 5 amid tentative diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, yet the 3% daily decline followed sustained inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 per EIA forecasts. This risk premium outweighs softer demand signals, including weaker Chinese imports, keeping the $77–$84 bin at 23% while lower ranges remain thinly priced. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly inventory releases that could further shape the futures curve ahead of month-end settlement.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
वॉल्यूम
$219,750समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETGeopolitical supply disruptions from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and associated Middle East production shut-ins exceeding 10 million barrels per day continue to anchor elevated crude prices, driving the 61% market-implied probability for June WTI settlement above $84. Recent trading saw front-month futures ease to approximately $90 per barrel on June 5 amid tentative diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, yet the 3% daily decline followed sustained inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 per EIA forecasts. This risk premium outweighs softer demand signals, including weaker Chinese imports, keeping the $77–$84 bin at 23% while lower ranges remain thinly priced. Key near-term catalysts include the June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly inventory releases that could further shape the futures curve ahead of month-end settlement.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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