Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after falling more than 3% amid canceled strikes and easing sanctions expectations. This has shifted trader consensus toward June settlement in the $77–$84 range, reflecting the market-implied 37.5% probability there versus 20.3% for $70–$77, as backwardation signals near-term tightness giving way to restored flows. Elevated global inventory draws of 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2, refinery utilization above 95%, and EIA projections of $105 Brent averages under sustained disruption contrast with growing expectations of supply normalization later in 2026. Weekly EIA data and OPEC+ signals remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्रूड ऑयल (CL) जून में किस पर तय होगा?
$77-$84 47%
$70-$77 21.0%
>$84 से अधिक 18%
$63-$70 3.2%
$234,691 वॉल्यूम
$234,691 वॉल्यूम
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
20%
$77-$84
40%
>$84 से अधिक
18%
$77-$84 47%
$70-$77 21.0%
>$84 से अधिक 18%
$63-$70 3.2%
$234,691 वॉल्यूम
$234,691 वॉल्यूम
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
20%
$77-$84
40%
>$84 से अधिक
18%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress and prospects for reopening the Strait of Hormuz have driven sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures settling near $84.88 on June 12 after falling more than 3% amid canceled strikes and easing sanctions expectations. This has shifted trader consensus toward June settlement in the $77–$84 range, reflecting the market-implied 37.5% probability there versus 20.3% for $70–$77, as backwardation signals near-term tightness giving way to restored flows. Elevated global inventory draws of 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2, refinery utilization above 95%, and EIA projections of $105 Brent averages under sustained disruption contrast with growing expectations of supply normalization later in 2026. Weekly EIA data and OPEC+ signals remain key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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