Ryan Fazio secured overwhelming delegate support at the Connecticut Republican state convention in mid-May 2026, capturing roughly 92 percent of the vote on the first ballot after Erin Stewart suspended her campaign amid reported party concerns and endorsed him. This consolidation left remaining challengers, including Betsy McCaughey, well short of the 15 percent threshold needed to force an August 11 primary ballot. Traders reflect this party unity and Fazio’s status as the endorsed nominee in the strong consensus pricing. Late petition drives or unforeseen ballot access developments could still introduce competition before the primary, though historical patterns show such efforts rarely overcome established convention outcomes in Connecticut.