Elon Musk’s August 4 statement that Grok 4.6 is “likely coming out next week” has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, following the rapid July 16 launch of Grok 4.5. xAI has restructured engineering teams to compress development cycles to roughly two-to-three weeks, with the 2-trillion-parameter 4.6 model positioned as a direct upgrade in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning over its 1.5-trillion-parameter predecessor. The accelerated cadence reflects competitive pressure from other frontier labs and positions xAI to deliver Grok 4.7 shortly afterward. Key near-term catalysts include any official xAI blog post, API documentation update, or rollout to grok.com, X, and mobile apps that would confirm public availability and resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयानया
$36,361 वॉल्यूम
7 अग, 2026
7 अगस्त
8%
14 अगस्त
86%
$36,361 वॉल्यूम
7 अगस्त
$21,306 वॉल्यूम
8%
14 अगस्त
$15,055 वॉल्यूम
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s August 4 statement that Grok 4.6 is “likely coming out next week” has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, following the rapid July 16 launch of Grok 4.5. xAI has restructured engineering teams to compress development cycles to roughly two-to-three weeks, with the 2-trillion-parameter 4.6 model positioned as a direct upgrade in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning over its 1.5-trillion-parameter predecessor. The accelerated cadence reflects competitive pressure from other frontier labs and positions xAI to deliver Grok 4.7 shortly afterward. Key near-term catalysts include any official xAI blog post, API documentation update, or rollout to grok.com, X, and mobile apps that would confirm public availability and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$36,361समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Elon Musk’s August 4 statement that Grok 4.6 is “likely coming out next week” has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, following the rapid July 16 launch of Grok 4.5. xAI has restructured engineering teams to compress development cycles to roughly two-to-three weeks, with the 2-trillion-parameter 4.6 model positioned as a direct upgrade in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning over its 1.5-trillion-parameter predecessor. The accelerated cadence reflects competitive pressure from other frontier labs and positions xAI to deliver Grok 4.7 shortly afterward. Key near-term catalysts include any official xAI blog post, API documentation update, or rollout to grok.com, X, and mobile apps that would confirm public availability and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceXAI's Grok 4.6 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.6 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.5, similar to the progression from Grok 4.4 to Grok 4.5 (e.g., Grok 4.6, Grok 4.75, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$36,361समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 1:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elon Musk’s August 4 statement that Grok 4.6 is “likely coming out next week” has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment, following the rapid July 16 launch of Grok 4.5. xAI has restructured engineering teams to compress development cycles to roughly two-to-three weeks, with the 2-trillion-parameter 4.6 model positioned as a direct upgrade in coding, agentic tasks, and reasoning over its 1.5-trillion-parameter predecessor. The accelerated cadence reflects competitive pressure from other frontier labs and positions xAI to deliver Grok 4.7 shortly afterward. Key near-term catalysts include any official xAI blog post, API documentation update, or rollout to grok.com, X, and mobile apps that would confirm public availability and resolve the market.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न