Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 established it as the leading general-purpose large language model, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks at half the price while becoming the default on the Claude Max plan. Traders see claude-opus-5-max at 91.9% implied probability because the model’s 1-million-token context, default thinking mode, efficiency gains, and state-of-the-art results on evaluations like Frontier-Bench have held through mid-August without meaningful competitive displacement. A last-minute rival launch, major benchmark reversal, or unexpected Anthropic downgrade could still shift sentiment before resolution on August 17, though no such catalysts have surfaced.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाclaude-opus-5-max 92.8%
claude-opus-5-high 2.8%
claude-fable-5 <1%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
$29,197 वॉल्यूम
$29,197 वॉल्यूम
17 अग, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
93%
claude-opus-5-high
3%
claude-fable-5
1%
claude-opus-4-6
<1%
अन्य
<1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
<1%
claude-opus-5-max 92.8%
claude-opus-5-high 2.8%
claude-fable-5 <1%
claude-opus-4-6 <1%
$29,197 वॉल्यूम
$29,197 वॉल्यूम
17 अग, 2026
claude-opus-5-max
$18,257 वॉल्यूम
93%
claude-opus-5-high
$2,078 वॉल्यूम
3%
claude-fable-5
$2,732 वॉल्यूम
1%
claude-opus-4-6
$1,117 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अन्य
$1,343 वॉल्यूम
<1%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$3,670 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 established it as the leading general-purpose large language model, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks at half the price while becoming the default on the Claude Max plan. Traders see claude-opus-5-max at 91.9% implied probability because the model’s 1-million-token context, default thinking mode, efficiency gains, and state-of-the-art results on evaluations like Frontier-Bench have held through mid-August without meaningful competitive displacement. A last-minute rival launch, major benchmark reversal, or unexpected Anthropic downgrade could still shift sentiment before resolution on August 17, though no such catalysts have surfaced.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$29,197समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 established it as the leading general-purpose large language model, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks at half the price while becoming the default on the Claude Max plan. Traders see claude-opus-5-max at 91.9% implied probability because the model’s 1-million-token context, default thinking mode, efficiency gains, and state-of-the-art results on evaluations like Frontier-Bench have held through mid-August without meaningful competitive displacement. A last-minute rival launch, major benchmark reversal, or unexpected Anthropic downgrade could still shift sentiment before resolution on August 17, though no such catalysts have surfaced.
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as “-thinking”) will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if two models remain tied, “claude-opus-4-6” would be ranked ahead of “claude-opus-4-6-thinking”). This market will resolve to the model that comes first according to this order.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$29,197समाप्ति तिथि
17 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 31, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s July 24 release of Claude Opus 5 established it as the leading general-purpose large language model, delivering near-Fable 5 frontier performance on coding, reasoning, and agentic benchmarks at half the price while becoming the default on the Claude Max plan. Traders see claude-opus-5-max at 91.9% implied probability because the model’s 1-million-token context, default thinking mode, efficiency gains, and state-of-the-art results on evaluations like Frontier-Bench have held through mid-August without meaningful competitive displacement. A last-minute rival launch, major benchmark reversal, or unexpected Anthropic downgrade could still shift sentiment before resolution on August 17, though no such catalysts have surfaced.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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