Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability of finishing second on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by September 30 because its Claude Fable 5.1 model currently sits just 35 points behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra, which claimed first place with 1,797 points on September 5. Recent benchmark data show Anthropic models maintaining elite agentic coding performance on frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use, consistent with strong SWE-bench and CursorBench results through the summer. OpenAI’s rapid leaderboard jump after the Astra release has solidified the current ordering, while trailing labs such as Alibaba, Moonshot, and others remain well behind with limited momentum in the final weeks. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai lab-filtered ranking at month-end, where small score shifts could still occur but appear unlikely to displace Anthropic from second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAnthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.5%
मूनशॉट 2.8%
अलीबाबा 2.7%
$67,734 वॉल्यूम
$67,734 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
79%
OpenAI
18%
मूनशॉट
3%
अलीबाबा
3%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
1%
Tencent
1%
Z.ai
<1%
मेटा
<1%
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
दीपसीक
<1%
थिंकी
<1%
पूलसाइड
<1%
मिस्त्राल
<1%
Anthropic 78.6%
OpenAI 17.5%
मूनशॉट 2.8%
अलीबाबा 2.7%
$67,734 वॉल्यूम
$67,734 वॉल्यूम
30 सित, 2026
Anthropic
$13,398 वॉल्यूम
79%
OpenAI
$7,877 वॉल्यूम
18%
मूनशॉट
$12,017 वॉल्यूम
3%
अलीबाबा
$16,842 वॉल्यूम
3%
स्पेसएक्सएआई
$2,214 वॉल्यूम
1%
Tencent
$1,650 वॉल्यूम
1%
Z.ai
$1,770 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मेटा
$1,482 वॉल्यूम
<1%
$1,560 वॉल्यूम
<1%
ByteDance
$3,054 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिनीमैक्स
$598 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,468 वॉल्यूम
<1%
दीपसीक
$1,022 वॉल्यूम
<1%
थिंकी
$617 वॉल्यूम
<1%
पूलसाइड
$1,035 वॉल्यूम
<1%
मिस्त्राल
$1,130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability of finishing second on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by September 30 because its Claude Fable 5.1 model currently sits just 35 points behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra, which claimed first place with 1,797 points on September 5. Recent benchmark data show Anthropic models maintaining elite agentic coding performance on frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use, consistent with strong SWE-bench and CursorBench results through the summer. OpenAI’s rapid leaderboard jump after the Astra release has solidified the current ordering, while trailing labs such as Alibaba, Moonshot, and others remain well behind with limited momentum in the final weeks. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai lab-filtered ranking at month-end, where small score shifts could still occur but appear unlikely to displace Anthropic from second.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$67,734समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability of finishing second on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by September 30 because its Claude Fable 5.1 model currently sits just 35 points behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra, which claimed first place with 1,797 points on September 5. Recent benchmark data show Anthropic models maintaining elite agentic coding performance on frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use, consistent with strong SWE-bench and CursorBench results through the summer. OpenAI’s rapid leaderboard jump after the Astra release has solidified the current ordering, while trailing labs such as Alibaba, Moonshot, and others remain well behind with limited momentum in the final weeks. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai lab-filtered ranking at month-end, where small score shifts could still occur but appear unlikely to displace Anthropic from second.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
वॉल्यूम
$67,734समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 24, 2026, 7:45 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an overwhelming 78% market-implied probability of finishing second on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by September 30 because its Claude Fable 5.1 model currently sits just 35 points behind OpenAI’s newly launched GPT-6 Astra, which claimed first place with 1,797 points on September 5. Recent benchmark data show Anthropic models maintaining elite agentic coding performance on frontend workflows, multi-step reasoning, and tool use, consistent with strong SWE-bench and CursorBench results through the summer. OpenAI’s rapid leaderboard jump after the Astra release has solidified the current ordering, while trailing labs such as Alibaba, Moonshot, and others remain well behind with limited momentum in the final weeks. Resolution hinges on the arena.ai lab-filtered ranking at month-end, where small score shifts could still occur but appear unlikely to displace Anthropic from second.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न