Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 37%
106-107°F 9%
100-101°F 5%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
37%
104-105°F
52%
106-107°F
9%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 52%
102-103°F 37%
106-107°F 9%
100-101°F 5%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
95°F or below
$310 वॉल्यूम
<1%
96-97°F
$277 वॉल्यूम
1%
98-99°F
$295 वॉल्यूम
2%
100-101°F
$297 वॉल्यूम
5%
102-103°F
$240 वॉल्यूम
37%
104-105°F
$443 वॉल्यूम
52%
106-107°F
$187 वॉल्यूम
9%
108-109°F
$64 वॉल्यूम
3%
110-111°F
$112 वॉल्यूम
<1%
112-113°F
$290 वॉल्यूम
<1%
114°F or higher
$365 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,877समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,877समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Austin highs of 102–104°F on August 26, with NWS point forecasts centering on 103–104°F under mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover. Persistent regional heat, elevated dew points near 60–70°F, and subsidence aloft support upper-end readings, while slight model spread and microclimate differences between stations create uncertainty between the 102–103°F and 104–105°F bins that together command nearly 90% implied probability. Historical climatology shows typical late-August maxima near 94°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth this season. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus against the narrow window for any late cooling or measurement variance before official daily maximums are recorded.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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