**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service place the overnight low in Austin on August 26 near 80–82°F under mostly clear skies after any evening clouds, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 76–77°F (37%) versus 71°F or below (36.5%), as modest variations in radiational cooling—driven by dew-point levels near 68–70°F, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects—could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat (103°F+), which maintains elevated soil and boundary-layer temperatures that limit nocturnal drops, while a weak frontal boundary approaching from the north offers only marginal relief and slight model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. With no strong cold-air advection expected before Thursday’s storm chance, the balance of outcomes near or just below 77°F reflects traders pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को ऑस्टिन में सबसे कम तापमान?
76-77°F 37%
71°F or below 37%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
71°F or below
37%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 37%
71°F or below 37%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
71°F or below
37%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service place the overnight low in Austin on August 26 near 80–82°F under mostly clear skies after any evening clouds, light southerly winds, and continued high pressure.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 76–77°F (37%) versus 71°F or below (36.5%), as modest variations in radiational cooling—driven by dew-point levels near 68–70°F, cloud timing, and urban heat-island effects—could shift the minimum by a few degrees. Recent days have featured record or near-record daytime heat (103°F+), which maintains elevated soil and boundary-layer temperatures that limit nocturnal drops, while a weak frontal boundary approaching from the north offers only marginal relief and slight model spread in minimum-temperature guidance. With no strong cold-air advection expected before Thursday’s storm chance, the balance of outcomes near or just below 77°F reflects traders pricing the narrow scientific uncertainty in exact overnight cooling rates rather than any major pattern shift.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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