Trader consensus around 26–30°C for Paris’s August 26 high reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with European ensemble models showing comparable probabilities across that range. Primary drivers include variable Atlantic ridging, potential for afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat retention. Historical late-August climatology places Paris daily maxima near 25–27°C, so the market-implied distribution centers slightly above average while assigning low odds below 25°C or above 30°C. Model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France are expected to converge or diverge further with the next 12–24 hour updates, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
11%
27°C
18%
28°C
36%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
6%
28°C 36%
29°C 32%
27°C 18%
30°C 14%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
23°C or below
$0 वॉल्यूम
3%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
18%
28°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
36%
29°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
32%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
14%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
7%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–30°C for Paris’s August 26 high reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with European ensemble models showing comparable probabilities across that range. Primary drivers include variable Atlantic ridging, potential for afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat retention. Historical late-August climatology places Paris daily maxima near 25–27°C, so the market-implied distribution centers slightly above average while assigning low odds below 25°C or above 30°C. Model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France are expected to converge or diverge further with the next 12–24 hour updates, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–30°C for Paris’s August 26 high reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with European ensemble models showing comparable probabilities across that range. Primary drivers include variable Atlantic ridging, potential for afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat retention. Historical late-August climatology places Paris daily maxima near 25–27°C, so the market-implied distribution centers slightly above average while assigning low odds below 25°C or above 30°C. Model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France are expected to converge or diverge further with the next 12–24 hour updates, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$20समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–30°C for Paris’s August 26 high reflects substantial short-range forecast uncertainty typical two days ahead, with European ensemble models showing comparable probabilities across that range. Primary drivers include variable Atlantic ridging, potential for afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers, and local wind patterns that modulate urban heat retention. Historical late-August climatology places Paris daily maxima near 25–27°C, so the market-implied distribution centers slightly above average while assigning low odds below 25°C or above 30°C. Model runs from ECMWF and Météo-France are expected to converge or diverge further with the next 12–24 hour updates, directly influencing resolution thresholds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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