**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया26 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
26 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 11%
18°C 4%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
30%
16°C
61%
17°C
11%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 30%
17°C 11%
18°C 4%
नया
नया
26 अग, 2026
10°C or below
$110 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$160 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$110 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
1%
14°C
$296 वॉल्यूम
3%
15°C
$295 वॉल्यूम
30%
16°C
$292 वॉल्यूम
61%
17°C
$554 वॉल्यूम
11%
18°C
$110 वॉल्यूम
4%
19°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
20°C or higher
$181 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,289समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,289समाप्ति तिथि
26 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a maximum near 15°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwest winds under a building high-pressure ridge that limits cooling while introducing mild advection.** This aligns with typical late-winter conditions, where average August highs reach about 13–14°C, though gusty NW flows can occasionally push readings 1–2°C higher than guidance. Recent model runs show partly cloudy skies with a low shower risk and strong afternoon winds, factors that favor the upper end of the narrow 14–16°C range without supporting significantly warmer outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in the odds assigns the highest implied probability to 16°C, consistent with historical variability in daily maxima and the potential for localized warming ahead of the next frontal system. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these probabilities as the event nears resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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