Trader consensus around 10–13°C for Wellington’s overnight low on August 25 reflects closely matched forecast guidance amid variable late-winter conditions. Primary drivers include the temperature and trajectory of the incoming air mass—southerly flows advect cooler maritime polar air that can drop minima toward 10–11°C, while milder northerly or westerly regimes support 12–13°C. Radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies enhances overnight drops, whereas persistent cloud or strong winds (common through Cook Strait) limit cooling by promoting mixing. Dew-point depression, frontal timing, and model spread on high-pressure ridging versus approaching troughs further differentiate the narrow range, with traders weighting the latest MetService and international guidance showing only modest consensus on exact boundary-layer stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
25 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
12°C 36%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
10°C 27%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
27%
11°C
29%
12°C
36%
13°C
28%
14°C
6%
15°C
4%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 36%
11°C 29%
13°C 28%
10°C 27%
नया
नया
25 अग, 2026
8°C or below
$140 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
3%
10°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
27%
11°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
29%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
13°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
28%
14°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
6%
15°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
4%
16°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$493 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C or higher
$130 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 10–13°C for Wellington’s overnight low on August 25 reflects closely matched forecast guidance amid variable late-winter conditions. Primary drivers include the temperature and trajectory of the incoming air mass—southerly flows advect cooler maritime polar air that can drop minima toward 10–11°C, while milder northerly or westerly regimes support 12–13°C. Radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies enhances overnight drops, whereas persistent cloud or strong winds (common through Cook Strait) limit cooling by promoting mixing. Dew-point depression, frontal timing, and model spread on high-pressure ridging versus approaching troughs further differentiate the narrow range, with traders weighting the latest MetService and international guidance showing only modest consensus on exact boundary-layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$852समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 10–13°C for Wellington’s overnight low on August 25 reflects closely matched forecast guidance amid variable late-winter conditions. Primary drivers include the temperature and trajectory of the incoming air mass—southerly flows advect cooler maritime polar air that can drop minima toward 10–11°C, while milder northerly or westerly regimes support 12–13°C. Radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies enhances overnight drops, whereas persistent cloud or strong winds (common through Cook Strait) limit cooling by promoting mixing. Dew-point depression, frontal timing, and model spread on high-pressure ridging versus approaching troughs further differentiate the narrow range, with traders weighting the latest MetService and international guidance showing only modest consensus on exact boundary-layer stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$852समाप्ति तिथि
25 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 10–13°C for Wellington’s overnight low on August 25 reflects closely matched forecast guidance amid variable late-winter conditions. Primary drivers include the temperature and trajectory of the incoming air mass—southerly flows advect cooler maritime polar air that can drop minima toward 10–11°C, while milder northerly or westerly regimes support 12–13°C. Radiational cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies enhances overnight drops, whereas persistent cloud or strong winds (common through Cook Strait) limit cooling by promoting mixing. Dew-point depression, frontal timing, and model spread on high-pressure ridging versus approaching troughs further differentiate the narrow range, with traders weighting the latest MetService and international guidance showing only modest consensus on exact boundary-layer stability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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