Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles show clear, calm overnight conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting strong radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to 8°C shortly before dawn on August 24. This aligns closely with climatological normals for late winter in Wellington, where the typical daily low hovers near 8–9°C amid northerly flows. Trader positioning at 94% implied probability on 8°C reflects confidence in this consensus output, tempered by awareness that ensemble spreads and local microclimate effects can produce small deviations. A stronger wind or increased cloud cover from an advancing front could limit cooling and push the low to 9°C or above, while an unusually clear and still night might allow a brief dip to 7°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
7°C 52%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
57%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 52%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
9°C <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
52%
8°C
57%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles show clear, calm overnight conditions under a building high-pressure ridge, supporting strong radiative cooling that drives the minimum temperature to 8°C shortly before dawn on August 24. This aligns closely with climatological normals for late winter in Wellington, where the typical daily low hovers near 8–9°C amid northerly flows. Trader positioning at 94% implied probability on 8°C reflects confidence in this consensus output, tempered by awareness that ensemble spreads and local microclimate effects can produce small deviations. A stronger wind or increased cloud cover from an advancing front could limit cooling and push the low to 9°C or above, while an unusually clear and still night might allow a brief dip to 7°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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