Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and light winds are expected to produce typical midsummer peaks, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap readings at 29°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or stronger solar insolation might push the high to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, though small adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the final observed maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 29%
29°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
$12,526 वॉल्यूम
$12,526 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
7%
30°C 29%
29°C 24%
31°C 16%
28°C 13%
$12,526 वॉल्यूम
$12,526 वॉल्यूम
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a maximum temperature near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those values. Daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, moderate humidity, and light winds are expected to produce typical midsummer peaks, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap readings at 29°C. Conversely, clearer conditions or stronger solar insolation might push the high to 31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread at this short lead time, though small adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convective activity remain the key variables that could shift the final observed maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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