The spread of probabilities across 27–31°C reflects substantial uncertainty in Beijing’s peak temperature today, driven by fluctuating atmospheric conditions including variable cloud cover, potential convective showers, and shifting wind patterns from the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show models diverging on afternoon instability that could cap highs near 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 30°C, while the urban heat island effect and measurement protocols at the central observatory add further variability. Historical August baselines average around 30°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to short-term humidity and solar radiation changes ahead of final daily reporting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29°C 39%
27°C or below 22.6%
30°C 20%
28°C 15.6%
$37,448 वॉल्यूम
$37,448 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
27°C or below 22.6%
30°C 20%
28°C 15.6%
$37,448 वॉल्यूम
$37,448 वॉल्यूम
27°C or below
23%
28°C
16%
29°C
39%
30°C
20%
31°C
7%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The spread of probabilities across 27–31°C reflects substantial uncertainty in Beijing’s peak temperature today, driven by fluctuating atmospheric conditions including variable cloud cover, potential convective showers, and shifting wind patterns from the East Asian monsoon. Official forecasts from regional meteorological agencies show models diverging on afternoon instability that could cap highs near 28–29°C or allow brief clearing to push readings to 30°C, while the urban heat island effect and measurement protocols at the central observatory add further variability. Historical August baselines average around 30°C, but recent model runs highlight sensitivity to short-term humidity and solar radiation changes ahead of final daily reporting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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