**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures across Metro Manila.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced convective activity limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, positioning the highest temperature for August 16 near 30°C according to the strongest market-implied odds. PAGASA outlooks currently project daily ranges of roughly 25–33°C, with the upper bound tempered by monsoon moisture and typical August climatology of 31°C average highs. Recent model guidance shows no significant clearing trend or subsidence that would allow stronger surface heating, keeping 29–31°C outcomes as the consensus cluster while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed rainfall. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 45%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
28°C 7%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
45%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
1%
30°C 45%
31°C 27%
29°C 18%
28°C 7%
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
45%
31°C
27%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions are the dominant driver moderating peak temperatures across Metro Manila.** Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and enhanced convective activity limit daytime insolation and evaporative cooling, positioning the highest temperature for August 16 near 30°C according to the strongest market-implied odds. PAGASA outlooks currently project daily ranges of roughly 25–33°C, with the upper bound tempered by monsoon moisture and typical August climatology of 31°C average highs. Recent model guidance shows no significant clearing trend or subsidence that would allow stronger surface heating, keeping 29–31°C outcomes as the consensus cluster while lower probabilities for 32°C+ reflect the low likelihood of suppressed rainfall. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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