Official MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter conditions feature typical maritime influences, with southerly winds and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies; climatological averages place August highs near 12–14°C. Recent polar air intrusions have produced cooler overnight minima around 7°C, reinforcing near-average temperatures per NIWA's seasonal outlook, while model consensus shows limited upside risk for 15–16°C unless ridging strengthens. Updated guidance through the day will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया15 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14°C 51%
15°C 30%
13°C 14%
16°C 7%
$24,792 वॉल्यूम
$24,792 वॉल्यूम
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
51%
15°C
30%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
15°C 30%
13°C 14%
16°C 7%
$24,792 वॉल्यूम
$24,792 वॉल्यूम
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
51%
15°C
30%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a maximum of 14°C for Wellington on August 15, aligning with the market's leading 47.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter conditions feature typical maritime influences, with southerly winds and possible morning showers limiting daytime warming under partly cloudy skies; climatological averages place August highs near 12–14°C. Recent polar air intrusions have produced cooler overnight minima around 7°C, reinforcing near-average temperatures per NIWA's seasonal outlook, while model consensus shows limited upside risk for 15–16°C unless ridging strengthens. Updated guidance through the day will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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