Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's maximum temperature near 31°C on August 14 amid the weakening southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in market-implied odds, as variable rainfall timing and intensity can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat effects in Metro Manila occasionally push readings higher under brief clear spells. Model consensus emphasizes steering patterns and moisture flux as key variables, with updated guidance expected from the agency ahead of the date. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context but underscore how short-term monsoon fluctuations drive the narrow probability spread among leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया14 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
14 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
26%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 26%
32°C 21%
29°C 10%
नया
नया
14 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$343 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$23 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$21 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$234 वॉल्यूम
4%
29°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
10%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
34%
32°C
$1 वॉल्यूम
21%
33°C
$26 वॉल्यूम
5%
34°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$37 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's maximum temperature near 31°C on August 14 amid the weakening southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in market-implied odds, as variable rainfall timing and intensity can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat effects in Metro Manila occasionally push readings higher under brief clear spells. Model consensus emphasizes steering patterns and moisture flux as key variables, with updated guidance expected from the agency ahead of the date. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context but underscore how short-term monsoon fluctuations drive the narrow probability spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$816समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's maximum temperature near 31°C on August 14 amid the weakening southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in market-implied odds, as variable rainfall timing and intensity can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat effects in Metro Manila occasionally push readings higher under brief clear spells. Model consensus emphasizes steering patterns and moisture flux as key variables, with updated guidance expected from the agency ahead of the date. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context but underscore how short-term monsoon fluctuations drive the narrow probability spread among leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$816समाप्ति तिथि
14 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from PAGASA place Manila's maximum temperature near 31°C on August 14 amid the weakening southwest monsoon, or habagat, which brings extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that limit daytime heating. These conditions create tight clustering around 30–32°C in market-implied odds, as variable rainfall timing and intensity can suppress peaks by 1–2°C through reduced insolation while urban heat effects in Metro Manila occasionally push readings higher under brief clear spells. Model consensus emphasizes steering patterns and moisture flux as key variables, with updated guidance expected from the agency ahead of the date. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context but underscore how short-term monsoon fluctuations drive the narrow probability spread among leading outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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