Persistent high pressure and typical August subtropical ridging over the Korean Peninsula support daily highs near 32–34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, with Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models showing peak temperatures clustered in that narrow band amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can trim 1–2°C from maximum insolation and explain why 32°C holds a modest edge in trader-implied odds over 33°C. Historical August climatology places mean highs around 31°C, but the current heatwave pattern and limited steering flow keep the distribution tightly centered, with lower-probability tails for 30°C or 35°C+ reflecting only modest uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को सियोल (इंचियोन) में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 28%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C या उससे कम
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
35%
33°C
28%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and typical August subtropical ridging over the Korean Peninsula support daily highs near 32–34°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 12, with Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models showing peak temperatures clustered in that narrow band amid low precipitation chances and moderate humidity. Slight model spread arises from variable afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can trim 1–2°C from maximum insolation and explain why 32°C holds a modest edge in trader-implied odds over 33°C. Historical August climatology places mean highs around 31°C, but the current heatwave pattern and limited steering flow keep the distribution tightly centered, with lower-probability tails for 30°C or 35°C+ reflecting only modest uncertainty in the final 48-hour forecast adjustments.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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