**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 12 near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes.** Official three-day outlooks show cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers and projected lows of 21–22°C, following a similar 22°C minimum on August 11. These conditions reflect typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where increased cloud cover and precipitation moderate overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Historical JMA normals place the August daily minimum around 23.7°C, but short-term model consensus favors slightly cooler values amid the expected shower activity. Traders weigh the reliability of these forecasts against potential shifts in steering patterns or intensity of rain, with new model runs and updated JMA briefings likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
52%
24°C
8%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 52%
22°C 28%
21°C 12%
24°C 8%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
12%
22°C
28%
23°C
52%
24°C
8%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts position the minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 12 near 21–23°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes.** Official three-day outlooks show cloudy skies with frequent scattered showers and projected lows of 21–22°C, following a similar 22°C minimum on August 11. These conditions reflect typical late-summer patterns influenced by the East Asian monsoon, where increased cloud cover and precipitation moderate overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer nights. Historical JMA normals place the August daily minimum around 23.7°C, but short-term model consensus favors slightly cooler values amid the expected shower activity. Traders weigh the reliability of these forecasts against potential shifts in steering patterns or intensity of rain, with new model runs and updated JMA briefings likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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