Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Houston on August 10 shows a narrow range of possible peak readings centered near 89–91 °F, with the market’s near-even split between the 88–89 °F and 90–91 °F bins reflecting uncertainty in afternoon convective timing and sea-breeze strength. Persistent high moisture and light steering winds favor scattered thunderstorms that could cap insolation and shave several degrees off the maximum, while clearer slots between cells would allow readings to reach the low 90s. These outcomes sit modestly below the long-term August average high of 95 °F at Bush Intercontinental, underscoring how localized boundary-layer processes rather than large-scale anomalies are dominating the short-term forecast. Updated model runs and the 7 a.m. NWS discussion tomorrow will provide the final inputs before resolution.