Hong Kong Observatory ensemble forecasts and regional models currently point to a daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 8 under weak steering winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer humidity levels that favor afternoon heating without strong convective cooling. The agency’s August 2026 outlook calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid lingering South China Sea troughs and elevated tropical cyclone risk, which can increase cloud cover and cap peaks below extreme thresholds. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent model runs and the absence of major weather disruption support the market’s concentration on 35°C as the mode. Updated HKO briefings and any new tropical system tracks in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 41%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
37°C 11%
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
41%
36°C
19%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
34°C 26%
36°C 19%
37°C 11%
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
$19,331 वॉल्यूम
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
8%
34°C
26%
35°C
41%
36°C
19%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory ensemble forecasts and regional models currently point to a daily maximum of 34–36°C on August 8 under weak steering winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical late-summer humidity levels that favor afternoon heating without strong convective cooling. The agency’s August 2026 outlook calls for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid lingering South China Sea troughs and elevated tropical cyclone risk, which can increase cloud cover and cap peaks below extreme thresholds. Historical August averages near 31–32°C provide context, yet recent model runs and the absence of major weather disruption support the market’s concentration on 35°C as the mode. Updated HKO briefings and any new tropical system tracks in the next 24 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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