Current numerical weather prediction models from Environment and Climate Change Canada and international ensembles point to a daily high most likely between 27–29°C in Toronto on August 6, driven by warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover under a building ridge. Recent long-range guidance for early August highlights above-average temperatures across southern Ontario through the first nine days, consistent with the 2026 seasonal outlook for near- or slightly above-normal warmth. Short-term model consensus has narrowed the expected peak into this narrow band, with modest spread arising from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble probabilities, reflecting traders’ aggregation of the latest model runs and climatological baselines for the date. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को टोरंटो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 21%
30°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
21%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models from Environment and Climate Change Canada and international ensembles point to a daily high most likely between 27–29°C in Toronto on August 6, driven by warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover under a building ridge. Recent long-range guidance for early August highlights above-average temperatures across southern Ontario through the first nine days, consistent with the 2026 seasonal outlook for near- or slightly above-normal warmth. Short-term model consensus has narrowed the expected peak into this narrow band, with modest spread arising from variable thunderstorm timing and boundary-layer moisture. Market-implied odds align closely with these ensemble probabilities, reflecting traders’ aggregation of the latest model runs and climatological baselines for the date. Updated forecasts issued in the next 12–24 hours will further refine the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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