National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 72–74°F under mostly sunny conditions with a moderate marine layer and onshore flow typical of the region’s summer climate regime. This consensus supports the market’s tight distribution, with the 72–73°F bin leading at 28% implied probability ahead of the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes. Small variations in wind strength, timing of any afternoon clearing, or model adjustments to the 500 mb ridge position could shift the official maximum across these adjacent bins. Historical August maxima average 70–73°F at downtown stations, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong offshore warming. Updated NWS and model guidance issued overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
4 अगस्त को सैन फ़्रांसिस्को में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 17%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 17%
नया
नया
4 अग, 2026
67°F या उससे कम
$626 वॉल्यूम
1%
68-69°F
$123 वॉल्यूम
5%
70-71°F
$216 वॉल्यूम
17%
72-73°F
$162 वॉल्यूम
28%
74-75°F
$164 वॉल्यूम
24%
76-77°F
$215 वॉल्यूम
21%
78-79°F
$159 वॉल्यूम
8%
80-81°F
$164 वॉल्यूम
4%
82-83°F
$311 वॉल्यूम
1%
84-85°F
$259 वॉल्यूम
1%
86°F या उससे अधिक
$297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 72–74°F under mostly sunny conditions with a moderate marine layer and onshore flow typical of the region’s summer climate regime. This consensus supports the market’s tight distribution, with the 72–73°F bin leading at 28% implied probability ahead of the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes. Small variations in wind strength, timing of any afternoon clearing, or model adjustments to the 500 mb ridge position could shift the official maximum across these adjacent bins. Historical August maxima average 70–73°F at downtown stations, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong offshore warming. Updated NWS and model guidance issued overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,696समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 72–74°F under mostly sunny conditions with a moderate marine layer and onshore flow typical of the region’s summer climate regime. This consensus supports the market’s tight distribution, with the 72–73°F bin leading at 28% implied probability ahead of the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes. Small variations in wind strength, timing of any afternoon clearing, or model adjustments to the 500 mb ridge position could shift the official maximum across these adjacent bins. Historical August maxima average 70–73°F at downtown stations, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong offshore warming. Updated NWS and model guidance issued overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$2,696समाप्ति तिथि
4 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 4 project a high near 72–74°F under mostly sunny conditions with a moderate marine layer and onshore flow typical of the region’s summer climate regime. This consensus supports the market’s tight distribution, with the 72–73°F bin leading at 28% implied probability ahead of the 74–75°F and 76–77°F outcomes. Small variations in wind strength, timing of any afternoon clearing, or model adjustments to the 500 mb ridge position could shift the official maximum across these adjacent bins. Historical August maxima average 70–73°F at downtown stations, so current guidance reflects near-normal conditions without strong offshore warming. Updated NWS and model guidance issued overnight will provide the next key data points ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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