Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
3 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 41%
16°C 41%
14°C 11%
17°C 10%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
41%
16°C
41%
17°C
10%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 41%
16°C 41%
14°C 11%
17°C 10%
नया
नया
3 अग, 2026
10°C or below
$371 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$148 वॉल्यूम
1%
13°C
$35 वॉल्यूम
2%
14°C
$153 वॉल्यूम
11%
15°C
$168 वॉल्यूम
41%
16°C
$151 वॉल्यूम
41%
17°C
$230 वॉल्यूम
10%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
19°C
$52 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C or higher
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,366समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,366समाप्ति तिथि
3 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast guidance from agencies like NIWA and international models points to a mild winter day in Wellington driven by transient high-pressure influence and lighter southerly winds rather than strong cold outbreaks, supporting daily maxima near 15–16 °C. Seasonal outlook data show temperatures most likely near or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, yet recent model runs have trended warmer for early August amid emerging El Niño conditions that can modulate regional flow patterns. Resolution hinges on the official MetService or equivalent maximum temperature reading, with traders balancing ensemble spread that still allows for cooler 14 °C outcomes if stronger southerlies develop. Upcoming model updates and the 48-hour forecast window will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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