Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया5 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे कम तापमान?
16°C or below 55%
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
16°C or below
55%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
16%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 55%
20°C 35%
19°C 26%
18°C 18%
16°C or below
55%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
26%
20°C
35%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
16%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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