Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
7 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 50%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
36%
27°C
50%
28°C
9%
29°C
8%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
1%
27°C 50%
26°C 36%
28°C 9%
24°C 9%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
22°C या उससे कम
$53 वॉल्यूम
1%
23°C
$63 वॉल्यूम
5%
24°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
9%
25°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
9%
26°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
36%
27°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
50%
28°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
9%
29°C
$7 वॉल्यूम
8%
30°C
$100 वॉल्यूम
<1%
31°C
$53 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
$17 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$335समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$335समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble forecasts for Tokyo point to a daily minimum near 26–27°C on August 7, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and high humidity that limit nocturnal radiational cooling. Typical August climatology shows average lows of 24–25°C, yet current model runs favor slightly warmer readings owing to increased cloud cover and the urban heat-island effect. With 27°C and 26°C each commanding roughly 50 % implied probability and lower thresholds receiving sharply reduced odds, traders are reflecting the narrow range of plausible outcomes and the limited time left for significant model shifts before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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