**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Wellington on August 7, 2026, clusters tightly around 12–13°C (combined ~81% implied probability), consistent with mid-winter climatology where average daily maxima reach about 12°C.** Official forecasts from sources like Weather25 and the UK Met Office currently project a 12°C high under partly cloudy or clearing conditions, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño influences that favor typical winter variability rather than extremes. Southerly flows and high-pressure influences commonly suppress daytime warming in the capital, limiting upside to the 14°C outcome (17.5%) or higher; recent precedent from the August 1 market resolution at exactly 11°C reinforces the narrow band traders expect. Key variables that could shift probabilities include the strength of any northerly wind shift or reduced cloud cover on the day, with updated model runs and official observations from MetService or NIWA likely to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
7 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 3%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
18%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 3%
नया
नया
7 अग, 2026
7°C or below
$367 वॉल्यूम
<1%
8°C
$150 वॉल्यूम
1%
9°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
1%
10°C
$89 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$178 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$205 वॉल्यूम
25%
13°C
$182 वॉल्यूम
56%
14°C
$234 वॉल्यूम
18%
15°C
$93 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
2%
17°C or higher
$100 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Wellington on August 7, 2026, clusters tightly around 12–13°C (combined ~81% implied probability), consistent with mid-winter climatology where average daily maxima reach about 12°C.** Official forecasts from sources like Weather25 and the UK Met Office currently project a 12°C high under partly cloudy or clearing conditions, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño influences that favor typical winter variability rather than extremes.
Southerly flows and high-pressure influences commonly suppress daytime warming in the capital, limiting upside to the 14°C outcome (17.5%) or higher; recent precedent from the August 1 market resolution at exactly 11°C reinforces the narrow band traders expect. Key variables that could shift probabilities include the strength of any northerly wind shift or reduced cloud cover on the day, with updated model runs and official observations from MetService or NIWA likely to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,702समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Wellington on August 7, 2026, clusters tightly around 12–13°C (combined ~81% implied probability), consistent with mid-winter climatology where average daily maxima reach about 12°C.** Official forecasts from sources like Weather25 and the UK Met Office currently project a 12°C high under partly cloudy or clearing conditions, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño influences that favor typical winter variability rather than extremes.
Southerly flows and high-pressure influences commonly suppress daytime warming in the capital, limiting upside to the 14°C outcome (17.5%) or higher; recent precedent from the August 1 market resolution at exactly 11°C reinforces the narrow band traders expect. Key variables that could shift probabilities include the strength of any northerly wind shift or reduced cloud cover on the day, with updated model runs and official observations from MetService or NIWA likely to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,702समाप्ति तिथि
7 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Wellington on August 7, 2026, clusters tightly around 12–13°C (combined ~81% implied probability), consistent with mid-winter climatology where average daily maxima reach about 12°C.** Official forecasts from sources like Weather25 and the UK Met Office currently project a 12°C high under partly cloudy or clearing conditions, while NIWA’s seasonal outlook for June–August 2026 assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures across the Wellington region amid emerging El Niño influences that favor typical winter variability rather than extremes. Southerly flows and high-pressure influences commonly suppress daytime warming in the capital, limiting upside to the 14°C outcome (17.5%) or higher; recent precedent from the August 1 market resolution at exactly 11°C reinforces the narrow band traders expect. Key variables that could shift probabilities include the strength of any northerly wind shift or reduced cloud cover on the day, with updated model runs and official observations from MetService or NIWA likely to refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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