Recent forecasts indicate Warsaw will experience cooling on August 7 after several unusually hot days, with model consensus pointing to a daytime maximum near 24–26 °C under increasing cloud cover and possible showers. A shift to northwesterly flow is advecting cooler maritime air, while increased low-level moisture and reduced insolation from frontal clouds limit surface heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in the precise timing and strength of this transition, which directly separates the tightly bunched 25 °C and 26 °C market leaders; stronger or earlier cloud build-up favors the lower outcome, whereas delayed clearing or stronger mixing could allow a brief push toward 27 °C. Official agencies such as the Polish Institute of Meteorology continue to refine short-range model runs, with the next major updates expected to narrow the remaining uncertainty before resolution.