Latest Met Office guidance favors a 27°C maximum in London on August 10 under high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the narrow lead for that outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent sustaining highs near 26–28°C after earlier heat spikes, while subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing create close contention with 26°C at 29.5%. Official forecasts emphasize limited rainfall risk and above-average temperatures for early August, though ensemble spread leaves room for minor revisions before the observation window closes. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August maxima around 22–25°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को लंदन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 33%
26°C 30%
25°C 19%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 33%
26°C 30%
25°C 19%
28°C 14%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
30%
27°C
33%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance favors a 27°C maximum in London on August 10 under high pressure with mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the narrow lead for that outcome at 32.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show warm air advection from the continent sustaining highs near 26–28°C after earlier heat spikes, while subtle differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing create close contention with 26°C at 29.5%. Official forecasts emphasize limited rainfall risk and above-average temperatures for early August, though ensemble spread leaves room for minor revisions before the observation window closes. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against historical August maxima around 22–25°C.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न