Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C या उससे अधिक
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on August 8, driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions, moderate humidity, and limited cloud cover that support efficient diurnal heating without strong convective cooling. This consensus aligns with historical August averages of 30–31°C and positions 32°C (36% implied probability) and 31°C (25.5% implied probability) as the leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 33°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of anomalous warming given current steering patterns and moisture. Traders are monitoring the next model runs and official advisories for any revisions ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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