Latest DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance positions Munich's August 8 maximum near 29–30 °C under a post-heatwave cooling trend, with mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds supporting modest afternoon warming. Short-range forecasts from multiple agencies cluster around 27–28 °C but show spread from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud development, keeping 29–31 °C as the most probable outcomes reflected in trader consensus. Historical late-summer variability in the region and resolution criteria based on the official Munich Airport station maximum further align with current market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 37%
29°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 5%
$20,149 वॉल्यूम
$20,149 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
35%
30°C
37%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 5%
$20,149 वॉल्यूम
$20,149 वॉल्यूम
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
35%
30°C
37%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest DWD and ECMWF ensemble guidance positions Munich's August 8 maximum near 29–30 °C under a post-heatwave cooling trend, with mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds supporting modest afternoon warming. Short-range forecasts from multiple agencies cluster around 27–28 °C but show spread from uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential afternoon cloud development, keeping 29–31 °C as the most probable outcomes reflected in trader consensus. Historical late-summer variability in the region and resolution criteria based on the official Munich Airport station maximum further align with current market-implied odds clustered tightly around 29–30 °C. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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