Recent global model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C, the two outcomes commanding 74 % combined market-implied probability. This range aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24 °C and reflects modest cooling after earlier warmth, driven by lighter winds, variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and no strong high-pressure ridge. Short-range forecast uncertainty centers on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Official Russian Hydromet updates and the next model cycles will further refine the envelope before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 40%
22°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
19°C या उससे कम
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
35%
23°C
40%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 35%
21°C 12%
24°C 12%
19°C या उससे कम
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
35%
23°C
40%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS ensembles positions Moscow’s August 9 maximum near 22–23 °C, the two outcomes commanding 74 % combined market-implied probability. This range aligns with climatological August averages of 22–24 °C and reflects modest cooling after earlier warmth, driven by lighter winds, variable cloud cover limiting daytime heating, and no strong high-pressure ridge. Short-range forecast uncertainty centers on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, which can shift the peak by 1 °C. Official Russian Hydromet updates and the next model cycles will further refine the envelope before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न