**Thunderstorms and persistent high humidity are the main near-term drivers keeping Shanghai’s August 9 overnight low tightly clustered between 26–28 °C in trader pricing.** Official and extended forecasts (timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models) show a low of 26 °C under overcast skies with 80 %+ humidity, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and moderate northeast winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect prevents the temperature from dropping further despite rain. Recent days have seen similar minima of 27–28 °C under comparable subtropical moisture and weak pressure gradients, reinforcing the 27 °C leading outcome at 39.5 % followed closely by 26 °C at 30 %. Model runs show little disagreement on this short time scale, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative window expected that would push readings toward 25 °C or below. The market’s tight spread around the 26–28 °C band therefore reflects both the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria based on official Shanghai station observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 अगस्त को शंघाई में सबसे कम तापमान?
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
22°C या उससे कम
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
25°C 14%
22°C या उससे कम
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
17%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Thunderstorms and persistent high humidity are the main near-term drivers keeping Shanghai’s August 9 overnight low tightly clustered between 26–28 °C in trader pricing.** Official and extended forecasts (timeanddate, AccuWeather, and regional models) show a low of 26 °C under overcast skies with 80 %+ humidity, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and moderate northeast winds. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while Shanghai’s urban heat-island effect prevents the temperature from dropping further despite rain. Recent days have seen similar minima of 27–28 °C under comparable subtropical moisture and weak pressure gradients, reinforcing the 27 °C leading outcome at 39.5 % followed closely by 26 °C at 30 %. Model runs show little disagreement on this short time scale, with no strong cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative window expected that would push readings toward 25 °C or below. The market’s tight spread around the 26–28 °C band therefore reflects both the narrow forecast envelope and the resolution criteria based on official Shanghai station observations.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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