Traders see nearly equal odds for a 33°C or 34°C high in Lucknow on August 10 because short-range models diverge on monsoon rainfall timing and intensity. The Indian Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights variability in the monsoon trough position over the Gangetic plains, which controls daytime heating, cloud cover, and convective activity. Stronger or earlier rainfall would cap temperatures near 33°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while lighter precipitation or delayed onset could allow peaks to reach 34°C. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows a narrow 32–35°C envelope, underscoring how small shifts in humidity, wind patterns, or thunderstorm timing differentiate the two leading outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया10 अगस्त को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 36%
34°C 35%
32°C 19%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
36%
34°C
35%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 35%
32°C 19%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
19%
33°C
36%
34°C
35%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see nearly equal odds for a 33°C or 34°C high in Lucknow on August 10 because short-range models diverge on monsoon rainfall timing and intensity. The Indian Meteorological Department’s latest guidance highlights variability in the monsoon trough position over the Gangetic plains, which controls daytime heating, cloud cover, and convective activity. Stronger or earlier rainfall would cap temperatures near 33°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, while lighter precipitation or delayed onset could allow peaks to reach 34°C. Historical August climatology for Lucknow shows a narrow 32–35°C envelope, underscoring how small shifts in humidity, wind patterns, or thunderstorm timing differentiate the two leading outcomes before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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