**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 33–34°C (combined ~65.5% implied probability) because active southwest monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered light rain or thundershowers—are expected to limit daytime heating.** Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued August 5 projects a maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain, while recent observations (August 5–6) recorded 32–33°C amid overcast conditions and rainfall. Climatological August maxima in Lucknow average 31–33°C, and the current monsoon pattern has kept temperatures near or slightly below normal through persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent trends favor outcomes in the low-to-mid 30s, with only modest probability assigned to 35°C or higher (16%) if clearer breaks develop, or lower readings if heavier rain arrives. The market’s tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects traders’ assessment of these monsoon-driven constraints and the limited window for significant warming before the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया8 अगस्त को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
34°C 38%
33°C 19%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
15%
36°C or higher
5%
34°C 38%
33°C 19%
35°C 15%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
38%
35°C
15%
36°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 33–34°C (combined ~65.5% implied probability) because active southwest monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered light rain or thundershowers—are expected to limit daytime heating.** Official India Meteorological Department (IMD) guidance issued August 5 projects a maximum of 35°C under partly cloudy skies with light rain, while recent observations (August 5–6) recorded 32–33°C amid overcast conditions and rainfall. Climatological August maxima in Lucknow average 31–33°C, and the current monsoon pattern has kept temperatures near or slightly below normal through persistent moisture and reduced insolation. Model consensus and recent trends favor outcomes in the low-to-mid 30s, with only modest probability assigned to 35°C or higher (16%) if clearer breaks develop, or lower readings if heavier rain arrives. The market’s tight clustering around 33–34°C reflects traders’ assessment of these monsoon-driven constraints and the limited window for significant warming before the date.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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