The market-implied probabilities cluster around 31–33°C because early August climatology in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin favors daytime maxima near 31–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding mountains. Short-term variability from afternoon convection, cloud cover, or transient ridges can shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive just two days ahead. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and instability, directly influencing resolution around the recorded highest temperature for August 6.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया6 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
6 अगस्त को चेंगदू में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
25%
33°C
21%
34°C
11%
35°C या उससे अधिक
8%
31°C 28%
32°C 25%
33°C 21%
34°C 11%
नया
नया
6 अग, 2026
25°C या उससे कम
$459 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$154 वॉल्यूम
<1%
27°C
$49 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$431 वॉल्यूम
1%
29°C
$581 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C
$228 वॉल्यूम
10%
31°C
$2,356 वॉल्यूम
28%
32°C
$483 वॉल्यूम
25%
33°C
$247 वॉल्यूम
21%
34°C
$818 वॉल्यूम
11%
35°C या उससे अधिक
$1,294 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probabilities cluster around 31–33°C because early August climatology in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin favors daytime maxima near 31–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding mountains. Short-term variability from afternoon convection, cloud cover, or transient ridges can shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive just two days ahead. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and instability, directly influencing resolution around the recorded highest temperature for August 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,100समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied probabilities cluster around 31–33°C because early August climatology in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin favors daytime maxima near 31–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding mountains. Short-term variability from afternoon convection, cloud cover, or transient ridges can shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive just two days ahead. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and instability, directly influencing resolution around the recorded highest temperature for August 6.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$7,100समाप्ति तिथि
6 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied probabilities cluster around 31–33°C because early August climatology in Chengdu’s Sichuan Basin favors daytime maxima near 31–32°C under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding mountains. Short-term variability from afternoon convection, cloud cover, or transient ridges can shift the peak by 1–2°C, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive just two days ahead. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble runs will provide the next key updates on steering patterns and instability, directly influencing resolution around the recorded highest temperature for August 6.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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